Two pitchers with loads of promise locked horns at Fifth Third Field Sunday afternoon as Gwinnett sent former Tigers prospect Jair Jurrjens out to face the Mud Hens Andy Oliver, and both did well.
A little background ...
- Oliver came into the contest with a 1-1 record and 5.31 ERA with Toledo. In 20.1 innings spread over four starts, Oliver had allowed 14 hits but walked 21 with 22 strikeouts.
- Jurrjens was making his first start for Gwinnett after being sent down from Atlanta. He was 0-2 with a 9.37 ERA with Atlanta, allowing 30 hits while walking 10 in just 16.1 innings. He also had just eight strikeouts.
Note that Oliver, who won't be 25 years old until December, is battling the same control issues that bedeviled him most of last season, when he was 8-12 with a 4.71 ERA and 80 walks in 147 innings for the Mud Hens.
Jurrjens' struggles were out of the blue, since last season he had been a National League All-Star and finished the year with a 13-6 record and 2.96 ERA. It's worth noting, though, that Jurrjens, who turned 26 in January, had a knee injury in August and was 1-3 with a 6.17 ERA in three starts from August 1 on.
So here's a look at the two lines: Which one was better?
- Pitcher A threw seven innings and allowed four hits and one earned run, walking three and striking out four.
- Pitcher B threw six innings and allowed four hits and one earned run, walking four and striking out five.
Close, right? But a slight edge to Pitcher A because he covered one more inning and had fewer walks, even though he also had fewer strikeouts. Right?
Wrong. Pitcher A was Jurrjens, and here was the problem with his seven innings of work: He didn't throw very hard AT ALL.
Jurrjens threw 93 pitches, 54 of which were strikes. But of those 93 pitches, only THREE registered 90 mph or faster. Jurrjens has extremely good command, but he didn't throw hard enough to get big-league hitters out.
Here are a few pitch speeds. His fastball sat at 86-89 mph (14 at 86, seven at 87, two at 88 and eight at 89) while touching 90 once and 91 twice. He had an effective curveball that sat at 74-79 mph (one at 74, two at 75, 10 at 76, four at 77, eight at 78, four at 79), and his change-up sat at 81-84 mph (seven at 81, five at 82, seven at 83, seven at 84, three at 85).
As you can see, there isn't a great range between those pitches, and his command would be much more effective if he threw harder.
Let's compare that with Oliver, who threw 103 pitches, 54 of which were strikes. Yes, that means 49 of his pitches were not strikes, which isn't a good ratio.
Here is a breakdown of pitches and strikes by inning ...
- First: 20 pitches, 11 strikes.
- Second: 10 pitches, six strikes.
- Third: 17 pitches, nine strikes.
- Fourth: 14 pitches, nine strikes.
- Fifth: 28 pitches, 15 strikes.
- Sixth: 15 pitches, six strikes.
Yes, that sixth inning hurt the ratio, And yes, my numbers don't add up to the total (when you're charting pitch speeds, keeping score, writing a blog and Tweeting stuff, those kinds of accounting errors happen. Sorry).
But compare the pitch speeds to Jurrjens, especially the fastball. Oliver sat at 92-94 mph (three at 91, 12 at 92, seven at 93, eight at 94) while touching 95 (once) and 96 (once). In his first four pitches -- all fastballs 92 mph or faster -- he had more plus-90 mph pitches than Jurrjens did all day.
Yes, I know throwing hard alone isn't enough to get major-league hitters out. But if Oliver solves his command issues, he'll get A LOT of big-leaguers out throwing that hard. No matter how pinpoint Jurrjens' control is, he won't get many major-league hitters out until he gets back to throwing in the 90s.
As for the rest of Oliver's pitches, his slider sat at 82-84 (five at 82, nine at 83, 15 at 84), while his change-up sat at 85-86 (six at 85, five at 86, two at 88). He also threw a pair of curveballs, one of which was 78 and the other at 79.
I'll have quotes about both Jurrjens and Oliver in Monday's Blade story, but here's something to consider about Oliver: This was his best start of the season, despite the walks.
And here was his best at-bat: It came in the fifth, with the score tied at 1-1 and Drew Sutton batting with the bases loaded with two outs. Two of the baserunners came on walks (both walks were on 3-2 pitches) and an infield single. Oliver got ahead of Sutton 1-2, then threw a slider that was a beauty, Sutton wasn't able to pull the trigger, and the ball cut right through the strike zone.
But it was called a ball.
Oliver was not deterred; he came right back with the slider and got Sutton to swing and miss to end the threat. It was a nice piece of pitching.